There is up to a 70 percent chance of a patient carrying the deadly coronavirus that originated in China arriving in Europe, according to calculations released Friday by French researchers.
The National Institute of Health and Medical Research (Inserm) analysed flight paths between Europe and China, where hundreds of people have contracted the previously unseen virus.
The outbreak has killed 26 people after appearing first at a seafood market in the Chinese city of Wuhan, a key international transit hub.
Although Chinese authorities have moved swiftly to quarantine 13 cities, cases have already been confirmed in South Korea, Japan, Thailand and the United States.
Iserm concluded that there was a 33-70 percent risk of a patient arriving in Europe by air.
"Given air traffic patterns, the countries most exposed are Germany and Britain," it said in a statement.
The team said the results were not a prediction, but simply a calculation of the probability of the disease reaching a given country. Explore further Virus screenings to begin at three US airports amid outbreak in China © 2020 AFP Citation : Up to 70 percent chance of Chinese virus reaching Europe: Analysis (2020, January 24) retrieved 25 January 2020 from https://medicalxpress.com/news/2020-01-percent-chance-chinese-virus-europe.html This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only.
Also in Industry News
How to decide whether or not to start treatment for prostate cancer?
Analysis of the SARS-CoV-2 proteome via visual tools
$65m investment increases British Patient Capital’s exposure to life sciences and health technology